Swinney says Scottish independence referendum could be held in 2028

Scottish Independence Referendum Could Take Place in 2028, Says First Minister

John Swinney, the First Minister of Scotland, has proposed the possibility of a second independence vote as early as 2028. During a BBC Scotland Debate Night event in Paisley Town Hall, he emphasized that holding such a referendum within two years was “perfectly conceivable.” This comes as political leaders from various parties engaged in a discussion on Scotland’s future, with differing perspectives on the path forward.

Party Leaders Clash Over Constitutional Future

Ross Greer, co-leader of the Green Party, supported the idea of placing Scotland’s destiny in its own hands. Meanwhile, Anas Sarwar of the Labour Party argued that the upcoming election focused more on forming an effective government than on independence. Russell Findlay, representing the Conservatives, warned that breaking up the UK would lead to an “unmitigated disaster.” Malcolm Offord of Reform UK called for a second referendum only if independence support reached 60%, while Alex Cole-Hamilton of the Liberal Democrats said he hadn’t considered it yet.

“We’re not having one”

Wes Streeting, the Health Secretary, stated this during an interview with LBC, adding that the country had “had enough of chaos.” Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer, however, expressed doubt about a referendum occurring during his tenure at 10 Downing Street. Swinney, addressing the audience, asserted that the people of Scotland were “entitled” to determine their constitutional future.

Arguments Over Scotland’s Sovereignty and Issues

Swinney highlighted the “constitutional logjam” that might be resolved by an SNP majority, referencing their previous success in the 2014 referendum. He urged voters to grant the party an “emphatic mandate” to secure Scotland’s independence. Greer, meanwhile, suggested that a majority of pro-independence MSPs in the next parliament would signal a mandate for a referendum.

“Profoundly anti-democratic”

Greer criticized Westminster for withholding a second vote, arguing that independence could address challenges like the NHS and economy. In contrast, Sarwar emphasized the need for the Scottish government to focus on domestic priorities, including healthcare, employment, and housing. Findlay defended the union, stating that a “weak” prime minister might allow the referendum to proceed, but he called on Swinney to “get on with the day job.”

Immigration as a Key Election Issue

Immigration has become a central topic in the Holyrood election campaign. Offord claimed that Holyrood should prioritize improving lives, while Findlay pointed to Glasgow’s strain on local services. The city houses over 3,800 asylum seekers, more than any other city outside London, according to Susan Aitken, Glasgow City Council leader. Greer accused Offord of being a “chancer,” arguing that increased immigration is vital for the NHS and rural areas.

“Trying to win an election based on dividing the people”

Cole-Hamilton criticized Offord’s stance as an attempt to split Scottish communities, noting that while small boat crossings are a concern, immigration helps fill a “skills crisis.” Sarwar added that Offord’s comments questioned his loyalty to Scotland, targeting migrants as a group.